Wheat, which reached a record production of 22 million tons last year, is expected to decrease to 17.3 million tons this year. According to the report prepared by the National Grains Council, Central Anatolia, Mediterranean, Eastern Anatolia and Southeastern Anatolia Regions were the regions most affected by drought. The report states that agricultural drought caused a 25-30 percent decrease in production. The report said, "Wheat production in Turkey, which has averaged 20 million tons for many years, is estimated to be 17 million 348 thousand tons."
According to the National Grain Council Report, there was a meteorological drought across the country in the period between October 2013 and April 30, 2014, although its severity varied by region. In addition to the meteorological drought, agricultural drought for winter grains occurred in the Central Anatolia, Mediterranean, Eastern Anatolia and Southeastern Anatolia Regions, and in these areas, besides the drought, the cold damage was at a remarkable level. Agricultural drought was observed in the inner passage parts of the Black Sea Region and the Aegean Region.
The report stated that the wheat cultivation area, which was 9 million hectares 10 years ago, gradually decreased and fell to around 7.7 million hectares. The following views were briefly included in the report: "Despite this, increases have been observed instead of decreases in production, as the productivity per unit area has gradually increased due to both the improvement of new varieties and developments in cultivation techniques, compliance with crop rotation principles and similar reasons. However, at this point, there has been an increase instead of a decrease in production. Consumption is much higher than expected due to the number of tourists, foreign aid and the people of neighboring countries who have to feed on food coming from Turkey due to the events in our environment. Therefore, the limit values have been reached in wheat cultivation areas, and the cultivation areas falling below this bring about the problem of insufficient production in dry years.
The report points out that the support for wheat should be increased by taking into account regional differences and says, "For example, in Central Anatolia, with a yield level of 250 kilos per decare, the support for wheat is 33.1 lira per decare. If the diesel support is increased from 4.6 lira to 7 lira per decare, and the difference payment support is increased from 5 kuruş to 8 kuruş per decare, the support per decare is increased." "It will increase to 43 lira. This is considered as an important support. In other regions, an arrangement should be made taking into account the productivity levels."
The report emphasized that drought will also negatively affect the feed industry. Taking into account the shortness of height throughout the country, especially in regions where drought is severe, it is stated in the report that it is recommended to program alternative feed resources in order to avoid a significant straw-straw shortage in the country if the drought situation continues: Efforts should be made to utilize harvest residues as bales and straw at the maximum level.
Reminding that Turkey's wheat production in 2013 was at a record level of 22 million tons, but despite this, the price of wheat increased, the following evaluation was made about the future: "Despite this record production, the price increase in wheat, contrary to the trend in the world, reveals the error of a calculation that takes 75 million into account. The population of the country and the number of registered and unregistered immigrants, the number of tourists and the surrounding areas that have fallen out of production due to civil war and other reasons." "It would be correct to determine the number of people who need wheat in the countries and the number of people receiving aid and take them into account in the production target. In this case, production will probably need to be planned according to 85-90 million." The report also states that in order to open ways to benefit from fallow lands; Water need in these areas is reduced by introducing processes such as direct sowing, vertical tillage, bottom boiler extraction; It was also emphasized that it is vital to initiate project studies that will enable the cultivation of plants such as safflower, Hungarian vetch, winter fodder peas, lentils and chickpeas.
In short, a possible crisis will be prevented by taking various measures for the future in grain production.